Did you know that the highest inflation rate ever recorded was in Hungary after World War II, where prices doubled every 15.6 hours?

While we're nowhere near such extremes today, understanding economic signals remains important.

In this edition of Equity Eats, we bring you these three articles:

• A June Rate Cut No Longer In The Cards: First, we’ll explore why a June rate cut is no longer anticipated, and what this means for investors ❌

• But Better News On Inflation Should Come: Next, we’ll discuss optimistic projections about inflation moderating towards the Federal Reserve's target, offering relief from potential rate hikes ✔️

• Markets Nerves Are Subsiding: Finally, we’ll learn how recent geopolitical events have impacted oil prices and calmed market nerves, stabilizing the financial outlook 😌

Each article provides key insights to help you navigate through these complex economic times with clarity and confidence.

A June Rate Cut No Longer In The Cards ❌

A June rate cut is out of the question at this point. 

Also, market pricing of a rate cut in July is now below 50% probability.

As a reminder, at the start of the year, the market was pricing in 7 interest rate cuts!

Now investors might not even get one 🙅🏻

But Better News On Inflation Should Come ✔️

We aren't expecting inflation to get stuck above the Fed's 2.0% target.

We think it will continue to moderate closer to that goal by the end of this year.

So while rate cuts may not be forthcoming, don't expect that the Fed will have to start “thinking about thinking about” raising interest rates again 🤔

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Markets Nerves Are Subsiding 😌

The financial markets had been bracing for a potentially dangerous scenario in the Middle East.

The price of a barrel of Brent crude oil had increased above $91 per barrel.

But since Israel successfully defended itself against a massive missile barrage from Iran, shooting down 99% of Iran’s missiles and drones, and then launching a counterattack that demonstrated Israel’s military superiority, Iran has stepped back from the brink of a direct war with Israel 🕊️

Oil prices have dropped back down to $83.50 and market nerves are dissipating.

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