Market Musings Disproved 🤯

Did you know that in 1929, the Wall Street Crash led to the Great Depression, marking one of the most significant economic downturns in history?

This event reminds us of the market's potential for volatility and the importance of informed analysis in navigating financial landscapes.

In this edition, we explore three compelling perspectives:

• The Demise Of The Dollar? Not A Chance: First, we challenge the annual predictions of the dollar's downfall, showcasing the strength and resilience of the U.S. economy 💸

• If Not Biden, Then Who: Next, we examine the potential shifts in Democratic leadership, underlining the critical role of strategy in the political sphere 🤔

• The Doubters Stand Firm: Finally, we reveal the unyielding skepticism of some investors, despite the stock market's upward movement, highlighting the unpredictable nature of market sentiments ⛰️

In this edition, we offer a guide through the complexities of economic trends, political changes, and market dynamics. Dive into this edition for a short but deep understanding of the forces that shape our financial world.

The Demise Of The Dollar? Not A Chance 💸

Every year, forecasts of the demise of the dollar are renewed.

This year has been no exception.

Hedge funds started the year making big bets that the mighty dollar would finally fall 📉

But recently, hedge funds have torn up those bets against the dollar after the US economy continues to exhibit unexpected resilience.

Year after year, the US remains the strongest economy in the world 💪

This sparked a rebound for the greenback in the first six weeks of the year.

Now according to Citibank, hedge funds have switched from positioning for a decline to betting on the dollar’s appreciation 🤑

If Not Biden, Then Who? 🤔

Republicans take pleasure in criticizing Biden for his diminished intellectual capabilities.

Of course, they have a point.

But it raises the question, if Biden were to step aside, which of the other potential Democratic candidates would be preferable?

Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama?

Sometimes, wise is the one who holds his tongue 🤫

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The Doubters Stand Firm ⛰️

When asked about the relentless rise in the stock market, the typical portfolio manager offers the following response:

“I think the S&P 500 rally kind of peters out at this point.”

After a year-and-a-half, you would expect professional investors to have grown frustrated by their record of dramatic underperformance due to their inaccurate pessimistic forecasts of the economy and the stock market 🤯

But they stubbornly maintain their negative views.

The stock market has a way of humiliating the greatest number of people possible.

This likely means that the pain trade remains higher stock prices 📈

Inner Circle Macro Update

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