Fed Patience Pays Off In Profits 💵

Did you know that the S&P 500 has historically beaten earnings expectations about 73% of the time?

Did you know that the S&P 500 has historically beaten earnings expectations about 73% of the time?

Consistently beating earnings expectations indicates resilience and growth potential, but it’s essential to dig deeper into what drives these results.

Here’s what we got for ya:

  • Interest Rate Cuts Coming: First, the Fed is nearing its inflation goal, making a rate cut almost inevitable 👏

  • A Delayed Rate Cut Has Its Benefits: Next, while some criticize the Fed for moving slowly, there are advantages to a cautious approach ✔️

  • Earnings Better Than Expected: Finally, despite high expectations, S&P 500 companies have delivered strong earnings results 🚀

We hope you’ll enjoy today’s read, and that you’ll stay tuned for future insights into the stock market from our 6-figures-generating expert Seth. Have a great weekend!

Interest Rate Cuts Coming 👏

Better inflation news indicates that the Fed’s inflation goal of 2% will be reached by the end of the year.

If it weren’t for shelter costs, which are impossible to measure accurately, inflation would be just under 2%, and the Fed would have cut interest rates by now.

Most other countries have already begun cutting, in part because they leave out shelter costs from their inflation measures.

But September 18 is just a month away, and a rate cut is pretty much guaranteed 💯

A Delayed Rate Cut Has Its Benefits ✔️

There has been much hand wringing that the Fed has been slow to reduce interest rates.

But many of those who have criticized the Fed for being too slow have also raised alarms that the stock market is overvalued.

Imagine how much higher stock prices would be had the Fed already begun an interest rate cutting cycle.

A slow Fed is the best protection against stock market bubbles 🛡️

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Earnings Better Than Expected 🚀

With 91% of S&P 500 companies having reported earnings for 2Q, 78% of the companies have beaten earnings expectations.

This is better than both the 5-year and 10-year average percentage of companies beating consensus estimates.

This is particularly impressive considering earnings expectations were particularly upbeat for the quarter.

The outlook for the second half of the year appears bright ☀️

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