Breaking Bonds 📝

Did you know that private equity investments have been around since the 1940s, but saw significant growth in the 1980s?

Breaking Bonds 📝

Did you know that private equity investments have been around since the 1940s, but saw significant growth in the 1980s?

This tidbit serves as a reminder of the importance of wise investment choices, especially with so much contradictory information out there.

This edition features the following articles:

  • Buffet Stays Away From Bonds, Maybe You Should Too: First, we’ll discover why Warren Buffet's preference for stocks and cash over bonds might be a strategy worth considering for your own investments

  • You Don’t Need Anything Fancy: Next, we debunk common misunderstandings about assets like commodities and REITs 🙅🏻

  • Industrial Stocks Setting New Highs: Finally, we’ll explore the industrial sector's impressive performance, signaling potential investment opportunities 📈

Our goal is to provide you with concise, actionable insights to navigate the market confidently.

Buffet Stays Away From Bonds, Maybe You Should Too

Warren Buffet’s Berkshire held more than $360 billion in stocks and $167 billion in cash (in the form of short-term treasury bills and money markets), and just $24 billion in bonds at the end of 2023.

Even Berkshire’s fixed income portfolio is essentially cash, with almost all of it maturing in one year or less 💵

Buffet’s approach with Berkshire’s investments offers a contrast with the standard 60/40 mix of stocks and bonds.

If investors are not ready to be fully invested, they might consider following Buffet and do a barbell with stocks and cash in the form of money markets.

This will put you in a good position to pounce on any potential market selloffs 🤑

You Don’t Need Anything Fancy 🙅🏻

Here is a list of asset classes that are fine for speculation, or even investment, but that long-term savers don’t truly need.

You don’t need commodities 🛢️

The S&P 500 index fund already includes commodity producers like Exxon Mobile and Newmont.

You might have heard that commodities are a hedge against inflation, as stocks perform better than gold.

And gold has shown a flimsy relationship with the consumer price index.

You don’t need real estate investment trusts 🏢

The S&P 500 already has REITs, and all of the companies in the S&P own commercial property anyway.

You don’t need private equity 💼

The fees are high and there is no evidence that PE beats stocks.

You can skip emerging markets 🌍

Their economies don’t grow any faster than the US economy and their stock markets almost always underperform.

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Industrial Stocks Setting New Highs 📈

The industrial sector ETF (XLI), home to airlines, transports, and makers of heavy equipment such as Caterpillar, is up 24% since setting a multi-month low in late October.

That’s one percentage point better than the S&P 500 📊

Earnings in this “cyclical” sector is dependent on the health of the economy, and investors in the stocks are more skittish than others should signs of a slowdown appear.

The industrials ETF, currently at $120, has set 19 new highs since the start of November 🚀

The industrial sector may be sending signals about the economy that most economists are missing.

Inner Circle Macro Update 🔍

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