Bonds: Blame Biden Or Trump? 🔍

Did you know that the stock market often reacts more to uncertainty than to actual events?

Did you know that the stock market often reacts more to uncertainty than to actual events?

This means that investors should focus on long-term trends rather than short-term volatility.

Here's what you can expect in today’s Equity Eats:

  • Will Biden Run? First, the question on everyone's mind is whether Biden will seek another term amidst growing opposition from within his own party 🗳️

  • Are Bond Yields Higher Because Of Trump? Next, we explore the relationship between recent political events and bond yields 📊

  • What’s The Most Important Thing In Your Life? Finally, we’ll offer a thought-provoking question 1️⃣

Stay informed and ahead of the curve with our expert insights and analysis. Have a great weekend!

Will Biden Run? 🗳️

The mainstream media has turned against him.

Members of his own party have begun to call for a change in the ticket, saying it's time for a new candidate.

But Biden and his inner circle are clinging to power, showing no signs of relenting to the pressure, at least so far 😤

No doubt, Trump prefers to face Biden, as he’s likely the weakest of all the other possible Democratic candidates.

If a change is made, it will most likely come no later then shortly before the start of the Democratic Convention on August 19.

Are Bond Yields Higher Because Of Trump? 📊

Many investors and the financial media are blaming higher bond yields on Biden’s poor performance in the presidential debate and the perception that Trump’s odds of winning the presidency have grown as a result.

Sometimes investors forget that there is a difference between correlation and causation 🤔

Did bond yields rise from 4.28% to 4.45% in the days following the debate?

Yes.

But does this necessarily mean the rise in bond yields was caused by the debate?

No.

In fact, yields have since fallen back to 4.35%, well within recent ranges 🤷

The more likely explanation for the brief rise in bond yields is increased volatility and an illiquid summer market.

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What’s The Most Important Thing In Your Life? 1️⃣

What you’re doing right now.

So focus and do it with 100% intention 🎯

Inner Circle Global Macro Update 🔍

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