Did you know that more than 80% of the stock market’s best days occur within two weeks of the worst days?

Missing just a few of the market’s best days can significantly impact your long-term returns, so it's important not to panic and sell during downturns.

In this edition of our newsletter, we’ll look at the following:

• August Volatility: First, we’ll discover why August often turns out to be anything but calm for the markets 🎢

• Always Just One Data Point Away From Disaster: Next, we challenge the pervasive narrative of economic doom 🤯

• The Fear Gauge Spiked To Over 66 Last Monday – The Worst Is Probably Behind Us: Finally, we’ll take a deep dive into the VIX, the so-called “fear gauge” 😌

Stay informed and ready to make confident investment decisions with the insights provided in this issue. Let’s go!

August Volatility 🎢

So much for August being a quiet month for markets.

The truth is that August has a long track record for giving investors fits.

Last Monday’s dramatic selloff kick-started a week of chaos.

History shows that investors who bought the S&P 500 following a 5% or more decline are highly likely to make good money in the coming twelve month period 💲💲💲

From mid-July through August 5, the stock market dipped by over 8%.

If you had the courage to buy, well done.

At a minimum, now is not the time to sell.

Always Just One Data Point Away From Disaster 🤯

It’s not just the media – it’s Jaime Dimon, it’s every investor that’s interviewed on CNBC.

The other shoe is always just about to drop.

We are always on the edge.

But it’s just not true.

The US economy has withstood one storm after another since 2020, and corporate America is strong, the banks are strong.

Wars are raging, interest rates are high, our politicians are crazy and many of our citizens are even crazier.

And yet, the economy has withstood it all ⛰️

It’s unlikely to crumble now, just at the time when the Fed is on the verge of offering some relief from interest rate cuts.

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The Fear Gauge Spiked To Over 66 Last Monday – The Worst Is Probably Behind Us 😌

The measure of fear in the stock market is the VIX.

It spiked from 12 all the way up to 66 on Monday of last week.

That tells you investors panicked 😱

Usually when panic levels reach such an extreme, it’s a sign that selling has reached a peak and a point of exhaustion.

Odds are that the summer low for stocks has been established.

While ripple effects are still likely, the worst of the selling is probably over.

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